Democrats in Free Fall

The numbers now show a historic crisis

From a "right-wing tsunami" to full-blown collapse: The Democrats have lost their grip on the people, and the 2026 midterms could completely obliterate the party.

When ideology outweighs reality, this is what happens: The Democrats are driving themselves straight off a cliff.

When I wrote the blog post "A Tsunami from the Right" back in February, plenty of people said I was exaggerating. I described a movement of ordinary people who’d had enough of woke politics, open borders, identity chatter, and economic chaos – and how it was quietly pushing voters across the West to the right in protest. Back then, many laughed at the idea that this wave could become so powerful it would shake the very foundations of parties that had long taken popular support for granted.

Now, there’s nothing to laugh about. Quinnipiac’s July numbers confirm what’s been brewing: Democrats in the U.S. are in free fall, with only 19% support. Not only is this the lowest figure since polling began 16 years ago – it’s a clear signal that the party has lost the trust of ordinary people. And this is happening while Republicans lead by double digits on absolutely every major political issue.

The Acute Crisis
When only 19% of voters approve of the Democrats’ performance in Congress, this isn’t just a routine political slump – it’s a full-on system crash. A staggering 72% of Americans are dissatisfied with the party’s performance, and the most shocking part is that even Democrats themselves are bailing: only 39% of their own voters support their congressional representatives, while 52% disapprove.

Historically, this is worse than before some of the most brutal midterm beatings we’ve ever seen. For comparison, Democrats had 36% support before their 2010 loss, when they lost 63 seats in the House. In 1994, Republicans were in a similar position when they crushed Democrats and seized control for the first time in 40 years. Never before has a major party entered a midterm with numbers this bad – and never before has the gap to the opposition been so stark.

It’s not just the numbers that are alarming; it’s the breadth of the discontent. From the economy to immigration, from inflation to cultural flashpoints like trans athletes and women’s sports, Republicans now lead by double digits. For the first time in ages, the GOP has managed to unite both its base and disillusioned independents under one shared slogan: enough is enough.

This isn’t just a warning sign for 2026. It’s a structural crisis that shows the Democrats have lost their grip on the political center – that big bloc of voters who decide elections. When everyday people feel the party no longer represents them, rallying the far-left won’t save you. The numbers are pointing straight down, and the bottom isn’t even in sight yet.

From Tsunami to Earthquake
When I wrote "A Tsunami from the Right" in February, I pointed to a quiet movement: ordinary people who’d had enough of the left’s radical experiments and turned their backs on parties they had supported their entire lives. What we’re seeing now is that this wave isn’t just washing over the West – it’s shaking the very foundations of American politics.

The Quinnipiac numbers prove that this wave has hit a critical point. When Democrats crash to 19%, it’s no longer about dissatisfaction with one president or one term; it’s a sign the party has lost popular legitimacy. This follows the same pattern we’ve seen across Europe: AfD in Germany is having its best election ever. Sweden Democrats have gone from fringe to being one of the country’s largest parties. In France, Rassemblement National is leading the polls ahead of the 2027 election. Reform UK is pushing the Tories to the brink. These aren’t random fluctuations – they’re part of a unified trend driven by the same issues: borders, security, the economy, and culture.

People are sick of being told to swallow higher prices "for the sake of the climate," that gender is a "social construct," or that crime is merely the result of "systemic inequalities." They see that it doesn’t work in practice. This grounding in reality is pushing them toward the right – not because they’ve suddenly become extremists, but because the right is the only one offering a break from the chaos.

When this dynamic hits the U.S., it hits hard. Americans have a lower threshold for political upheaval than Europeans, and when trust collapses, voters react fast. The result? A right-wing wave that’s no longer just a wave – it’s an earthquake that could completely obliterate the Democrats.

2026 – The Supermajority That Could Change Everything
If Republicans score big in the 2026 midterms, we’re not just witnessing a routine election win – we’re looking at the beginning of a political shift that could give Donald Trump more power than any president has had in decades. A supermajority in the House and a solid majority in the Senate would allow him to ram through the MAGA agenda at record speed, with zero interference from the Democrats.

This isn’t just about building a stronger border wall or tightening immigration. It’s about a fundamental overhaul of American politics: tax cuts to boost the economy, clearing out the woke bureaucracy that’s taken over everything from schools to the military, and a full reversal of DEI policies that voters reject by double-digit margins. Such a majority could also pave the way for structural reforms – from federal appointments to an aggressively nationalist trade policy, letting Trump put America first without compromise.

For the Democrats, this is a nightmare scenario. Not only would they lose all influence in Congress, they’d also be forced to cobble together a 2028 presidential candidate while Trump governs unchecked and delivers on promises that strengthen his case even further. They’d be left leaderless, credibility shot, and with no issues that resonate with mainstream voters. History shows that when a party falls into this hole – like Republicans did after Roosevelt’s 1936 landslide – it can take years to climb out.

Media’s Escape from Reality and Democratic Decay
While all of this is happening, the media keeps pretending that the crisis is just a "temporary slump" for the Democrats. The Quinnipiac numbers – which should have been a political earthquake headline – are often buried under articles titled "Democrats Can Still Reverse the Trend" or "Can a New Generation Bring the Party Back?" This whitewashing isn’t just journalistic failure; it’s part of the problem.

When the media downplays the real voter exodus, it gives Democrats a false sense of security. Party leaders and strategists get stuck in an echo chamber where they believe that activists on X (formerly Twitter) and editorial boards speak for the general public. Meanwhile, the broad middle class turns its back on them – the people who get up early, work, pay taxes, and just want safety and predictability instead of social experiments and ideological crusades.

This disconnect between voters and the party is only made worse by the fact that Democrats have allowed themselves to be hijacked by a left-wing faction that’s driving people away in droves. Every time the media defends this as "progressive," they only dig the hole deeper. The result? Democrats aren’t just losing elections – they’re losing their grip on reality itself.

A New Political Era
History shows us what happens when a party loses both its hold on voters and its ability to reinvent itself. After Roosevelt’s 1936 landslide, Republicans were sidelined for nearly 20 years. They had no leaders who could unite the public, no issues that could win the center, and they were forced to watch as Democrats rebuilt the nation on their terms. It took a generation before the GOP could seriously challenge power again.

Now we’re seeing the same thing – but with the roles reversed. Trump is already in the White House, the GOP is leading on every major issue, and Democrats look more like an internal culture war than a governing party. If Republicans secure a supermajority in 2026, Trump’s policies won’t just sail through unopposed – they’ll cement a power base that Democrats will struggle to dislodge for decades.

When a party combines broad public support, control of Congress, and a president with a clear mandate, it doesn’t just create a new government – it creates a new political era. That’s where we are now: at the threshold of a period where the GOP could dominate American politics for a generation, just as Democrats did after the 1930s. The difference is that this time, the shift isn’t driven by elite ideological projects – it’s driven by ordinary people who’ve had enough and want safety, order, and common sense restored.

And it’s not stopping in the U.S. We’re seeing the same rightward shift across the West: AfD in Germany breaking records, Reform UK pushing British politics hard to the right, Le Pen and Bardella leading in France, and Sweden Democrats steadily growing. From Portugal to Poland, the political center is being shoved rightward by voters fed up with globalism, identity politics, and social experiments. The U.S. and Europe are moving in lockstep – and when both continents change course at the same time, this isn’t just a political correction; it’s a historical turning point.

This is no longer just a right-wing wave – it’s the earthquake marking the start of a new era in the West. Democrats and their European sister parties are powerless, trapped in outdated ideas, while voters abandon them en masse. By the time the next election rolls around, this movement may have done more than shift the balance of power for a few years – it may have put an end to an entire political epoch, in both the U.S. and Europe.